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Gold prices have settled into a consolidation phase as traders await critical US inflation data that could reshape precious metals direction and Federal Reserve rate expectations for 2026.
Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has collapsed 92% amid Iran conflict, driving crude above $90/bbl and reshaping currency and commodity markets globally.
Gold found critical support at $5,000 as US-Iran tensions escalate. Analysts forecast moves toward $5,400+ this year, supported by safe-haven demand and oil-driven inflation concerns.
After the killing of Supreme Leader Khamenei, his son takes power during active conflict. Oil surges past $100 as the Strait of Hormuz faces massive disruption.
Shipping through the critical Strait of Hormuz has dropped 94% amid US-Iran conflict, disrupting 20% of global oil trade and creating major market implications for energy prices, inflation, and financial assets.
OPEC+ announced a 206,000 barrel daily increase to offset Iran disruptions, but analysts question if logistics constraints and Strait of Hormuz risks make the boost insufficient to prevent major price spikes.
The Trump administration's 10% tariff on imports effective February 24 threatens to escalate to 15%, disrupting global trade flows and pressuring trade-linked currencies while supporting USD strength amid heightened market volatility.
Gold maintains support at $5,000 with bullish technical structure and geopolitical safe-haven flows driving potential gains toward $5,418 as central banks and investors embrace the precious metal.
Brent crude bounces to $93.60 after Monday's $120 spike as geopolitical tensions impact global energy supplies and markets seek equilibrium.
